Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006475 0.007466 0.008623 0.010093 0.011935 0.014200 0.017253
2025-11-09 0.004932 0.006063 0.007513 0.009562 0.012476 0.016629 0.023325
2025-11-16 0.004104 0.005250 0.006809 0.009176 0.012856 0.018717 0.029667
2025-11-23 0.003688 0.004878 0.006580 0.009331 0.013975 0.022216 0.040188
2025-11-30 0.003300 0.004472 0.006213 0.009166 0.014487 0.024820 0.050726
2025-12-07 0.002961 0.004087 0.005810 0.008847 0.014618 0.026717 0.061155
2025-12-14 0.002722 0.003824 0.005556 0.008722 0.015063 0.029449 0.076522
2025-12-21 0.002601 0.003726 0.005552 0.009036 0.016469 0.035084 0.108771
2025-12-28 0.002521 0.003683 0.005629 0.009510 0.018367 0.043148 0.167551
2026-01-04 0.002398 0.003556 0.005542 0.009640 0.019509 0.049827 0.240372
2026-01-11 0.002259 0.003388 0.005360 0.009542 0.020059 0.055002 0.326082
2026-01-18 0.002153 0.003268 0.005253 0.009583 0.020998 0.062430 0.482419
2026-01-25 0.002014 0.003089 0.005036 0.009394 0.021387 0.068770 0.713451
2026-02-01 0.001856 0.002865 0.004712 0.008915 0.020811 0.070580 0.919108
2026-02-08 0.001728 0.002685 0.004459 0.008564 0.020538 0.073896 1.279030
2026-02-15 0.001663 0.002616 0.004414 0.008705 0.021909 0.088089 2.955001
2026-02-22 0.001577 0.002499 0.004262 0.008555 0.022254 0.096936 6.141472
2026-03-01 0.001486 0.002367 0.004067 0.008265 0.022015 0.101783 11.982000
2026-03-08 0.001418 0.002274 0.003946 0.008151 0.022405 0.112492 46.498048
2026-03-15 0.001389 0.002253 0.003974 0.008437 0.024493 0.143176 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001372 0.002254 0.004048 0.008868 0.027456 0.195240 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001333 0.002208 0.004014 0.008985 0.029120 0.241074 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001282 0.002136 0.003916 0.008897 0.029774 0.276320 NaN